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Dubai’s residential real estate market closed 2025 at a point of transition. After several years of rapid expansion, the market moved into a phase defined by absorption, pricing discipline, and buyer selectivity, as higher pricing levels were tested and sustained across key segments. Total residential transaction value reached approximately AED 541.3 billion across 200,779 transactions during the year. While headline price growth eased to around 8 to 9%, volumes held firm, signalling that demand has broadened beyond short-term momentum and is now supported by deeper participation from both end users and long-term investors.
Jumeirah Village Circle recorded 17,933 sales, Business Bay 11,874 and Dubai South 9,820, while Palm Jumeirah averaged AED 4,045 per sq ft. Eleven communities are profiled with volume, value and average price per sq ft.
Completed residential deliveries reached roughly 44,000 units, the highest level of handovers in recent years, absorbed without materially disrupting market balance. Launches and completions are covered with the Q4 2025 pipeline in detail.
The outlook expects growth to moderate as the cycle matures, with demand concentrated in established locations and premium asset types. Five structural trends are set out with the evidence behind each.
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